Election Day Predictions, GOP Collapse, and the Craziest Cycle in 71 Years | 11-03-26

[00:00:04] Broadcasting live from atop the Rocky Mountains, the crossroads of the West, you are listening to the Liberty Roundtable Radio Talk Show.

[00:00:14] Happy to have you along, my fellow Americans. We are talking Election Day. The polls are open and we're on fire with news that I refused to use.

[00:00:42] With me today, Lowell Nelson, ladies and gentlemen. Mr. Moore is the author of an incredible book called Forerunner, the unlikely role of Ron Paul. Boy, howdy, is that spot on. Lou's a Utah resident now and he's got an incredible website that you got to keep an eye on called securevote.news. That's securevote.news. We also have James Edwards with me. James Edwards is a well-known talk show host with thepoliticalcesspool.org.

[00:01:10] Doing a phenomenal job as always. That's really important to kind of understand as well. Back to the news the networks refuse to use straight away, ladies and gentlemen. The pollsters are often wrong and they've really, really blown it since, oh, I don't know, the 2016 elections is kind of when they started to really fall off the rails. So no one really believes in the polls. But the problem is we have nothing better to go by and so everybody kind of goes to them anyway.

[00:01:39] And Lowell Nelson has done a great job at pointing out pollsters that actually don't have an agenda, that actually try to truly capture what's going on. And the polls are looking really bad for the Republicans and really good for the Democrats in many, many ways. Ron Paul wrote a column that got released with the greatest headline, Republicans deserve to lose, but Democrats don't deserve to win. And amen to that. With that summary, news organizations are explaining their standards for calling their midterm winners.

[00:02:07] Now, I find this interesting because they've got to announce this is the standard. That's what's comical about this. Listen up. Ahead of Tuesday's election, the Associated Press says it declares a winner only when the trailing candidate cannot catch up. Isn't that brilliant, Lou? That's something. Isn't that a problem in science? It took three geniuses to come up with that one.

[00:02:34] Now, I don't know why they would announce a winner if the trailing candidate can catch up. Why would you declare a winner when you don't know? See, and that's how they manipulated elections for years. Because if you're about to go vote and you hear your candidates lost, even though your candidate could catch up, you often might just say, I'm so busy today, I'm tired, it's at work, I got to get dinner, I got to, I'm just not going to vote then. And so see, they manipulate, they've committed vote fraud for years on that idea. So then they go on.

[00:03:05] Decision Desk HQ is what it's called. I don't know how many people know about Decision Desk HQ. But it requires now unanimous agreement from its decision team and approval from its, quote, data science head. Reuters reported on Sunday that many major outlets use one of those services for vote counts and or projections. So I just want you guys to know it's revolutionary this election.

[00:03:31] They are only going to declare a winner when the other one cannot catch up, according to vote realities. And then they'll have their Decision Desk people. They'll make sure that they all agree and that their science data head says it's okay. Then they'll release that information, James. James, declaring a winner after the game is over, that's pretty remarkable. Imagine that kind of stuff. I mean, that's just insane. I don't know what they're thinking. I've never heard anything like it. Anyway, it's amazing that they've just come to this after this.

[00:03:59] It just shows how fraudulent they've been up until now, James. And then I don't know that we can even trust them to hold that standard. That's the released standard. But will they really do it? Well, I don't know if... Or will 10 years later their head scientist go, I told them no, but they did it anyway. I sometimes wonder if someone's won or lost even a month or a year after an election. So who knows? Well, when everybody votes pre and post and whatever else, election day and stuff like that, we're not going to have all the answers tonight like we hope either, James.

[00:04:29] That's my prediction. Well, there'll be some. I mean, because this is just going to come down to district by district and state by state as opposed to a presidential election. I mean, you'll probably be able to tell how it's going to go just to the varying degree of severity depending on what's not called it. But I've got to go back to something you said before. And I want to touch on a few races that I think are interesting and find what individual races Lou thinks are interesting.

[00:04:59] But something you said, Sam, a moment ago in the first half of the program, it just is really jaw-dropping. I can remember saying, because if you go back to election night 2024, you go back two years today, and the Democrats were in such disarray after Trump's win and the sweep nationwide, the trifecta of power going back to the GOP. Oh, it was holistic.

[00:05:25] The Democrats had been so off the rails on transgenderism and DEI and critical race theory. I mean, I even said, you know, by no means was it a guarantee. But I said, there is a path. If Trump really gets serious about mass deportations, that the Democrats will not be competitive again for a generation. That was the feeling at that time. No question. And by the way, I don't think that feeling was ill-placed either. There was a path.

[00:05:55] There was a path for that to have occurred. But unfortunately, they decided to go another direction. And now you have in just and you don't have to go back two years, gentlemen, you go back 18 months. 18 months ago, guys, we were together for a pretty, pretty interesting and very optimistic conference in South Carolina where you spoke, Sam, and you spoke, Lou, and we had different members of Congress and Senate international players. We even had one guy who was an aspiring candidate who we got elected since then.

[00:06:25] But that conference was born through the enthusiasm of the moment of Trump's first few weeks in office. And then literally the very next month in June of last year, you had the first bombing of Iran. And it has just been a nosedive ever since then. And now here we are, it is amazing Lou, that that much promise has been completely exhausted in 18 months, 18 months. You go from, well, maybe the Democrats won't compete again on a federal level for the, for a lifetime.

[00:06:52] Now the Republicans might not compete on a level for a lifetime. And that's kind of what I'm saying is it's just out of control. All right. The Republicans control both chambers of the house, James, let me just set this up and then you can talk about these races. What each party needs just so people kind of understand the house. The target needs to be 218 seats for a majority. So the Democrats need a net gain of three seats compared to the two 15 they won in 2024.

[00:07:21] Republicans need to hold 218. And so they've got to basically maintain, um, they gotta, so they gotta consider seats that are picked up minus the seats they've lost, right? The Senate, the Republicans hold 53 seats. Democrats, along with the two independents that oftentimes caucus with them, hold 47 seats. So really the Democrats hold 45. Democrats need a net gain.

[00:07:47] They say of four seats to reach 51 and take control, which I don't really understand that because there's two independents that believe it or not could start to go against the Democrats. Possibly Republicans can lose a net three seats and still retain control with a 50-50 because of J.D. Vance being able to vote the tie break. If Democrats lose one of their current seats, of course they must flip five Republican seats to compensate for that.

[00:08:14] Anyway, there's 36 governorships on the line split evenly between 18 and 18. That's Republican and Democrats. See, we treat these parties that are really not even part of government as special privilege at the trough. That's why it's criminal, folks. Nationwide Republicans currently hold 26 governorships and the Democrats currently hold 24. A Democratic net gain of two would give them 26 and it would flop.

[00:08:38] Each governorship is a separate state office and winning governorships does not change anything to do with control of Congress. With that in mind, let's drill into some of these candidates. James? Well, Lou, do you want to respond to that? Sam's math there on how the balance of power is teetering on a knife's edge and how it might fall one way or the other? And then we can get into that, if that's okay, Sam. Please. Great. Love it. Sure.

[00:09:04] Yeah, well, the Democrats don't need much to take the House and it's gone. It's bye-bye. I'm positive of that. The Senate, as I said earlier, there are 11 races that are close enough that they conceivably could go either way. And almost every one of them could go Democrat. I don't think every one of them will. But these governorships, James... I'm predicting 7 out of 11 go Democrat, though, Lou.

[00:09:34] And you may be right, Sam, because the wind is at their back. But as far as these governorships, James, you know, there's the patronage of the governor, huge power within their own state, obviously. But it's also very important for the 2028 presidential election, particularly in states like Wisconsin, which is likely to be a swing state where the Republicans are not getting the job done. They've got a good candidate up there, Tom Tiffany, a congressman.

[00:10:02] But it's not going well in Wisconsin right now. And even more importantly, the two big ones, the two big Republican governorships, Texas and Florida, it's not likely they'll lose both of them this cycle. But it is possible that Byron Donalds and Governor Abbott could both go down tonight. And if they do... Even if they don't lose both of them, it's massive.

[00:10:32] Pardon, Sam? I'm sorry. Go ahead. I'm saying even if they don't lose both of them, even if they lose one of them, that's a massive populace there. Massive. And Texas, I'm going to tell you right now, if Paxton loses and if by some means Abbott loses, it's going to be Katie Barr at the door for the Democrats. They are going to be so invigorated with being in Texas. And believe it or not, whether it's Texas or Florida, that's a tenth of the nation, not counting illegals. Yep.

[00:11:01] But anyway, the other thing I wanted to say is if Donalds and Abbott are losing or are very close to losing, that is an indication to me that we are going to see a whole lot of congressional seats go down and several Senate races and other governorships go down. I think those are going to be bellwether races tonight to see where they're sitting after we get a hundred... James, put your finger on who? Well, I'll say... I'm going to get to that right now. I will just say this.

[00:11:30] The Democrats smartened up after going for all of that woke, over-the-top, radical, woke nonsense. They basically just sat back and say, we're going to help you with gas prices. We're going to help you with groceries. We're against AI data centers. And that's pretty much been the party line this year. We're going to get you into a house. Donald, stop this. That's it. We're going to get you a house. Well, because that's the biggest thing is the affordability thing is the biggest thing. And people are just out there thinking, well, the last two years, I can't afford anything anymore. I'm just going to give the other side a shot.

[00:11:59] It's just pretty much that's just the simple, conventional thinking. And they've gotten off this train of radical, woke leftism. Not to say that they still don't believe it. Certainly they do. But they're not talking about amnesty for everybody. They're just talking about basic issues that people can relate to. So it's a smart play. But you wait until they get control. Oh, yeah. Well, we know that. I'm telling you right now, the gloves are coming off. And folks like Lou Moore and Sam Bushman and James Edwards might just be tossed in the clink. There's no telling how bad it'll be.

[00:12:29] I mean, you can't even imagine. But they're not running on that. I'm just saying why they're winning is. Well, Lou had a great graph, by the way. Another thing he had texted me the other day. Basically, Trump's approval rating rose and fell almost as a mirror negative image of the gas prices. And so it really is just all about affordability. And it's almost comical. It's almost comical, James, too. Sorry to interrupt. But you know how they had those big stickers on the gas stations and they're like Biden did that or whatever? Yeah. Wow.

[00:12:59] You know, the Democrats should be putting on the gas pumps. Trump did that. Yeah. Well, Sam, we just we just had a milestone. It's been less than a week where officially now gas is more expensive in Donald Trump's America than in Joe Biden's America. Yep. And not to mention everything else, not to mention a Big Mac combo, not to mention anything you buy, not to mention you can't even forget buying a house or having insurance or anything like that anymore.

[00:13:27] You know, that's that's that's not happening. All right. Let's start with the Senate candidate. What's his name? Roger. Yeah. So let's say that is in. I've got that here. That's in Michigan. Oh, so that is one of the ones I wanted to look at, Lou. So I'm just looking and I would really like to get your take. You heard he has two Israeli foreign agents for Israel on his staff, right?

[00:13:56] Well, if he's a Republican, I don't know. But here's the thing about that. That is I mean, for anybody that's motivated by that issue. And I'm very interested in it. I mean, it's a huge deal. One of the biggest. But the Democrats are not going to be any better. Well, there's still the Democrats are still they have the same handlers to, you know, the people at the college notwithstanding. But so that that that's one you have Abdul Ed Said. I know Michigan's got a big Muslim population up around Dearborn.

[00:14:24] And but Abdul Ed Said, Lou, is looking to be the next senator out of Michigan. Obviously, Tallarico is one that I think is very interesting. And it's not just Congress or or the Senate. I mean, the governorships as well. I mean, most people are talking about who's going to control this thing writ large, who's going to control the House, who's going to control the Senate. But if you look into just the individual races, which are the ones that you're most interested in? I'm interested in the El Saeed Rogers race.

[00:14:55] I'm interested in obviously Tallarico, which we've mentioned. Not a lot of play for this republic of this gubernatorial race in Tennessee, where Marsha Blackburn, a longtime GOP congresswoman and senators, is predicted to become the next governor. But there is an upstart named David Hatley, who I will be voting for in a minute when I leave here. And then the Vek Ramaswamy, you know, that's interesting versus Amy Acton. That's another one where it looks like the Democrats are going to win pretty comfortably in a state that Trump carried.

[00:15:23] Yeah, but they made a monumental mistake, too, with the release of that ad. Well, there was that, but he was already losing. I think that was a desperation play. But, yeah, that did not play well. And then, Lou, one other one. Lindsey Graham's sister is neck and neck in South Carolina. Imagine losing a Senate seat in South Carolina. Why are you campaigning for Sidney Hyde-Smith and Corinth? Because there's a chance that she could lose. They haven't lost in Mississippi.

[00:15:49] The last time, I told Sam this last week, the last time Mississippi sent a Democrat to the Senate, Michael Jackson had just released Thriller. And now South Carolina is in the same. It was 1982. John C. Stennis, the last Democrat to be elected there. And South Carolina could fall. Because they put in, I mean, Lindsey Graham's sister.

[00:16:09] Now, I'm not saying any of these people are qualified for their seats, but how in the hell could just because you're the sister of somebody who died, you can be a United States Congress, a United States Senator. These are some of the races. Which are the ones you're interested in, Lou? Well, you know, you mentioned a South Carolina race.

[00:16:26] You have a Republican senatorial candidate that when they asked her about the Taiwan Straits and the tensions with China over Taiwan, where we have 60% of our chips manufactured that we use in America. She said, well, I'm not really into foreign policy. I don't know too much about that. Well, she also said it's not pathetic. It's insane. What's gone on in this election cycle? Gentlemen, I have been following politics my entire life, almost literally so.

[00:16:56] I'm 71 years old. This is the craziest election I have ever witnessed on so many levels, and that's one of them. Ladies and gentlemen, we're going to have an event tonight covering it. Just want to make sure everybody knows. 5 to 10 and possibly beyond Mountain Time, 7 to noon Eastern Time. It's going to be a barn burner.

[00:17:16] You're going to have a bunch of us, about 20 of us, breaking down the elections as they close and unfold, if you will. Hopefully, we won't be stymied and get, you know, hanging chads in Alaska like Florida. Hopefully, we won't end up with craziness like, hey, we're going to stop the voting. We'll talk to you in the morning, and then we have big fraud. But we're going to have Sheriff Mack on. We're going to have Ron Edwards, well-known talk show host, on with us.

[00:17:44] We're going to have Mike Termott running for vice presidential candidate, wanting to change how candidates are chosen for the vice presidency, Libertarian Party. We're going to have Nathan Worcester, who will be with us from the Epoch Times. Second hour, Lance Migliaccio, George Balentine will be with me. Third hour, Dr. Scott Bradley, Lowell Nelson, Campaign for Liberty. Jacob Oaks with Liberty United. Kirk Crosby will be with us, the well-known Honeyman.

[00:18:11] And then fourth hour, James Edwards, Lou Moore, Alex Newman, and Dr. Scott Bradley. Next hour, Peter Scoop Stanton, the 75 radio people, and James Edwards. And then Sam and Lance are going to wrap up, if there's anything else left after it's all on the cutting floor. That's going to be happening live. It's going to be broadcast by the Big Mig channel and the Liberty News Radio channel, and several other channels that wanted to participate.

[00:18:39] You'll be able to listen to it on radio at libertynewsradio.com, and it'll be video on YouTube, Rumble, and just about everywhere, James. Wait a minute. I get to talk to Lou Moore again today? I mean, Christmas is coming November, gentlemen. Mountain Time 8A and 8P, ladies and gentlemen. You'll hear from Lou Moore breaking down politics as it really unfolds. James? Just one more thing on the South Carolina Senate race with Lindsey Graham's sister, Darlene. She was also asked, Lou, and I don't have the exact quote in front of me,

[00:19:07] but I'm going to get very close to it with this. I mean, it was, again, a question about what are you going to do for mom and pop in South Carolina? She said, I don't answer. I answered to the corporate interests of the speciality. I mean, it was pretty much a word-for-word quote. This is who I answer to in Washington, or who I'll be answering to, which was a remarkable degree of candor. I don't think she meant it the way you could do it. All right, well, Lou, what are some of these races you're looking at individually?

[00:19:36] I mean, that was just a litany of some that I thought were interesting. Yeah, well, I'm looking at South Carolina, and South Carolina is an example of why we have to be a little careful tonight because all these races have individual characteristics, but in this case, they're not good for the Republicans by any means. That should be a safe seat, totally safe seat for the Republicans. It's not. That's one to look at. Vivek Ramaswamy and Amy Acton in Ohio without any doubt. James, this is one we need to watch carefully.

[00:20:02] And, you know, a terrible Republican candidate for Ohio, which is a populist, working-class voter pool that we acquired. We didn't have, when I say we, the Republicans acquired through Donald Trump. Ohio was no slam dunk before that. But, anyway, it's all on the line again. And all the gains made in Ohio may be flushed down the tube tonight. So that's certainly one to look at.

[00:20:31] Florida is another one, and particularly the governor's race. I don't think the senator is really – she's got a DSA type of candidate that I just don't think can get into the competition. But the governor's race, Donald's has been a weak candidate from the beginning, and now we're really seeing it. And it's going to be a long night for him, I predict. That was another one that very much interested me, Lou, was Florida, because Florida was such a remarkable story.

[00:20:57] You go back a couple of cycles ago, and Ron DeSantis had turned to Florida, which was a swing state going back to 2016 and before. And he turned it into bloody red Florida. It looked like Oklahoma's electoral districts. And then now the Republican Party just cannot learn the lesson that affirmative action candidates just don't play as well as candidates that would do better with their voting base.

[00:21:27] It reminds me of an NBA game. You're up 30, and it's the fourth quarter, and you lose. Isn't that what it's kind of like, James? No, I saw a game like that last week. Well, the Dallas Cowboys played in one on Monday night, actually, up 14. I'm just saying it seems like that's what the Republicans are doing, though, right? It's like Lou said. I don't know what they're doing. There has been so much political malpractice in effect over the last year and a half, and some of these candidates.

[00:21:56] I mean, Vivek in Ohio, why? Why? I mean, why would they even let that happen, Lou? It's insane. It's, well, I mean, there's different dynamics in every state. But bottom line, there were a lot of faithful MAGA types that came to the standard, that rose to the occasion, that created this possibly invincible election coalition in 2024.

[00:22:19] And piece by piece, because of special interest influence and other peculiarities, evidently, of our president, you know, they have committed, you know, the circular firing squad, as they used to say. Sad but true. Okay, we're about out of time. Tell me a little bit more about securevote.news. Securevote.news is where you can get the latest election.

[00:22:46] And all we cover on that website is election integrity and election integrity adjacent issues. I own that site with Lowell Nelson, your good friend. And we stay on it, 24-365. All right, there's another interesting website that I want to point everybody to, electionsimplified.com. It's a group that uses AI to literally brief you on your elections in your area.

[00:23:12] You go in and put in your zip code, or if you put in your address, it's even more accurate. They're not trying to steal your information, but your address tells you exactly what district you're in. Sometimes your zip code is split districts. But anyway, if you go to electionsimplified.com, and they're not super, like, conservative like I am or anything, but they claim they don't pick sides. And they have AI literally drill down and give you information in your state, in your district, all the way from the general election, all the way down to your local politics.

[00:23:39] It's a pretty interesting site to check out that we ought to keep an eye on as we unfold the broadcast tonight as well. We've got a lot going on. It's going to be a lot of fun. It's going to be a lot of ups and downs and topsy-turvy and everything else. But, ladies and gentlemen, we've got to remember, this land is worth the fight. The ones that guard our freedom, folks. And who is that? Sadly, it has not been the Republicans. And that's why everybody is so disenchanted.

[00:24:06] People feel like they've been marginalized, to say the least. Betrayed is another word. Some are saying it's so bad that we can never recover as conservatives. And I wonder if that's actually true. James Edwards, thank you. We'll see you tonight, brother. I love you guys. Lou, you're the best. Sam couldn't do it without you. Talk to you all tonight. Sam's going to be broadcasting about 16 hours a day by the 12th of a sudden. Thepoliticalsensepool.org. Lou Moore. Thank you so much, sir.

[00:24:35] Thank you. Appreciate it. SecureVote.net for Lou Moore. Or .news. SecureVote.news. I'm Sam Bushman. God save our constitutional republic. See you tonight.