Radio Show Hour 1 – 2026/10/03

[00:00:01] You're listening to the Liberty News Radio Network, and this is The Political Cesspool. The Political Cesspool, known across the South and worldwide as the South's foremost populist conservative radio program. And here to guide you through the murky waters of The Political Cesspool is your host, James Edwards.

[00:00:29] Folks, we have such a busy show tonight, we're just going to dive right in. We'll get to the second and third hours in turn, but first we're going to hit at least three global hotspots with Patrick Martin. Of course, our dear friend and expert when it comes to geopolitics. Expert on everything. Really is when it comes to this kind of stuff. He's a former government contractor who has worked in 78 different countries.

[00:00:58] And we're going to begin tonight in France where you have race riots currently gripping that nation. It is all over the news if you've been covering it. From Fox News, the headline reads, France's teen riots. So you know what that means. Teen riots take explosive new turn. Another headline from the BBC. Fires lit on streets across France as students protest, forcing hundreds of schools to close.

[00:01:26] And so I text messaged yesterday Nick Griffin. And I said my exact message to him was, Nick, what the hell is going on in France? And the former member of the European Parliament replied, well, James, it's a very sick place. But on top of that, Macron has been outspoken about Gaza. I think it's a test run for using the left migrant mob in an operation rather like Mao's cultural revolution. And the same is being tried in Spain, too, he said.

[00:01:56] And as usual, the left are useful idiots and the migrants are cannon fodder. With that, I turn it over to our geopolitical analyst, Patrick Martin. Patrick, I'll ask you the same question I asked Nick. What the hell is going on in France? It looks like the camp of the saints in real time. It really is. And by the way, gentlemen, it's great to be on the show. Thank you very much for the invitation. You know, as we're all aware, Europe has been changing demographically at an incredible rate.

[00:02:26] It's already been a powder keg, as it is. And ostensibly these are over school conditions and so forth. But it's very clear that there has been an organizing entity at the sub-level preparing for these race riots for some time. And really all fingers point towards Israel.

[00:02:48] You know, with Macron being, what we're beginning to see set up here is unique in that you have Europe and portions of the Middle East that are now facing down against a U.S. alliance with Israel. So it's the U.S. and Israel on one side, Canada and Europe and some portions of the Middle East on the other side, Iran being an entirely different category here.

[00:03:13] And Israel is now beginning to use a unique form of sense and option by exploiting what are already pretty easily exploitable situations. Demographics are there. You have the suburbs are really bad in France. For those of you who are not really familiar with the geography of France, Paris, when you hear suburbs in the United States, suburbs are nice typically. And they tend to be filled with white people driving SUVs. In Europe, it's different.

[00:03:41] The suburbs tend to be filled with migrants and, you know, brownskins, burbers. And they call them in French burbers. They're essentially from burbers from North Africa. And this racial undertone has been going on for quite some time. I was speaking to a French delegation. This is my busiest time of the year from a business perspective because of Christmas. I have a lot of containers, a lot of vessels coming in from France, specific Le Havre.

[00:04:09] And I have been talking to the French quite a bit. And this has been slowly bubbling now for about two or three months. It really came off as a result of the last couple weeks. And I do believe that these are organizations intentionally designed to disrupt the French in general. But when you have Macron and you have the rest of the French government beginning to be very outspoken critics of Israel, beginning to create alliances with Canada,

[00:04:39] you can see where this sort of color revolution type activity has now been triggered. And, again, all fingers point to Israel. And I would also say many of the fingers also point to the United States. The United States has really been very involved in the cultivation of socialist entities, exploiting these immigrant populations, using these socialist entities to both organize and then galvanize support against the resident governments in Europe that don't comport to their will.

[00:05:07] And it looks like that switch was just slipped. Patrick, this is Keith Alexander. I would assume that the Muslims that are, you know, the main ones they're trying to stir up are going to be anti-Israel. Why would that serve the interests of the Israelis and the Jews generally to have them stirred up? Nothing is better than to have two of your enemies fighting each other.

[00:05:36] So, for Israel, Europe, there's a blood libel against Israel. Israel would love nothing more to see Europe destroyed in every which way. This goes back centuries. I can really get into this in real depth. But for the purpose of the show, it has to be understood that to the Jewish community writ large, especially the Ashkenazi Jewish community, they view Europe as an eternal enemy.

[00:06:03] And it really has been since 70, 80, since it wiped out. And even though I can, again, go to history, why the Ashkenazi are not the same people that once occupied that Palestinian territory that Rome eventually wiped out, eviscerated, it still doesn't matter to them. To them, their mindset is this is a constant fight or struggle. And they hate the Europeans. Now, they hate the Muslims, too.

[00:06:29] But they don't really hate the Muslims in the same way that we think they hate the Muslims. They are just competitors. And they're really ethnic competitors, nationalist competitors. From a faith-based perspective, there isn't really much of a faith-based distinction between Muslims and Jews to the way the Jews look at it in many ways. The Jews already know that they are the chosen people, so they claim they believe this. So, to them, Muslims are just essentially usurpers, but they have a genetic lineage through Abraham. Again, this is from the Jewish perspective.

[00:06:59] But from that pure, weaponizable enemy, you've got one enemy fighting the other enemy, and the Israelis can sit back and watch. And this is really where that benefits them. And, again, to go back to exactly what's happening on the ground in France right now, your friend and mine and ours, Keith, Ridge Hamblin, was texting me a day or two ago. And he said, are you going to talk about France tonight? And I said, what's going on exactly in France? He said, well, I mean, here's one.

[00:07:25] And he sent me a story about one of these Africans, migrants, had used a flamethrower, it looked like, to put a fireman on fire. And I said, well, Rich, I mean, you know, Blackford are using flamethrowers in Charlottesville, too. And he's like, no, James. This is a big thing. This is a big story. They burned down all these schools. And then I started looking into it. And I said, OK, let me call Patrick. But, I mean, it's incredible how the media is spinning this.

[00:07:50] They're seeing this widespread unrest across France right now stems from student protest over crumbling school and poor teacher pay. And this just actually, I've got to say, it makes me lament the demise of Trump and how badly he's mismanaged his second term because these people are going to come back into power now. They're absolutely insufferable. I mean, the people who would write things like, you know, these African migrants, it's really just, you know, it's not race riots.

[00:08:17] It's not what naturally happens when you have a mob of low IQ people with no impulse control getting together. They're saying students are protesting teacher shortages in dilapidated school buildings. Who put those words in their mouth? I mean, this is what they're saying. This is what they try to sell you. I mean, it's just incredible. But what you have is obviously just a mob of non-whites burning and pillaging, which we've seen here in the United States many times in recent years, Minneapolis and elsewhere. You're absolutely right.

[00:08:47] First of all, the, you know, we talk about cultural, education is not a valued project in the black mind in the United States. We just know that. I mean, blacks themselves will complain about this, that there's, you know, if you are a black student in a black community who is doing well in school, you will be picked on. You will be bullied.

[00:09:08] You will be bullied into a position where you are then either forced to relocate or you will join the mob mindset and become a bad student. Now, you have white teachers, these white liberal teachers that will pass along these black students who are terrible here in the U.S., go to the next grade, next grade, next grade.

[00:09:28] And that's why you have this huge population of Americans, I put it in air quotes, Americans who can't read in the 12th grade, can't read in the 11th grade, can't do 12th grade math. They can't do third grade math because it's just happening perpetually. In Europe, it's just as bad.

[00:10:12] You bring this to France, it's not much different. You cannot outrun your DNA. And the fact is that many of these folks are coming from Africa, going into these white civilized areas, France, Germany, what have you, and acting the same way they act back home because there is no such thing as magic soil. There is no magic dirt. You don't get to come to America, plant your feet on the ground and say, oh, now all of a sudden I'm a red, white, and blue flag wave in American, can't wait to go out there and pay my taxes and do my civic duty.

[00:10:42] The whole idea of a social contract exists in Europe, in these white countries. They don't understand that in France. We'll be right back. Yeah, it's just ridiculous. Well, I would ask, you know, is this going to be the one that gets whites motivated? Apparently not. If not now, when? And we're still waiting, but it's not going to be this one. We'll be right back with Patrick Martin. Hey, folks. It's your friend Harry Cooper here. You know, it always feels like home when I'm on this show, and I want to invite everyone to check out Shark Hunters.

[00:11:12] Head on over to sharkhunters.com, where we tell the honest history of World War II without propaganda. And we've always worked to bring former enemies together as friends. There's no other source available that publishes this history like Shark Hunters, because we got our information, photos, and memories directly from the warriors who fought the battles. Sharkhunters.com has an unmatched collection of more than 300,000 photographs right from the veterans themselves.

[00:11:40] The Shark Hunters magazine will keep you up to date on real history, so send us an email to sharkhunters at sharkhunters.com, and we'll send the current issue of our magazine by email. No charge, of course. What are you waiting for? Head on over to sharkhunters.com, and I'll see you there. You know where the solution can be found, Mr. President? In churches, in wedding chapels, in maternity wards across the country and around the world.

[00:12:10] More babies will mean forward-looking adults, the sort we need to tackle long-term, large-scale problems. American babies in particular are likely going to be wealthier, better educated, and more conservation-minded than children raised in still-industrializing countries. As economist Tyler Cowen recently wrote, quote, By having more children, you're making your nation more populous, thus boosting its capacity to solve climate change.

[00:12:39] The planet does not need for us to think globally and act locally so much as it needs us to think family and act personally. The solution to so many of our problems, at all times and in all places, is to fall in love, get married, and have some kids.

[00:13:09] All right. Now, moving on from France to Russia and Ukraine, the Russo-Ukrainian conflict. You know, the thing about Ukraine is, if you know anything about history, you know that Ukraine became Ukraine, as we know it today, in 1991. For the 1,500 years prior to 1991, it was part of Russia. Kiev was actually, they call it Kiev now, Kiev was actually pretty much the foundation of the Russian nation.

[00:13:40] And for 1,500 years, it was part of Russia. Now, I can't say too much about that, Patrick, because we only had our independence here for four years, and I still consider myself to be a Confederate. But this is the history of it all. And so Ukraine has been an independent state now since 1991. On February the 24th of 2022, you had the onset of the latest hostilities.

[00:14:05] And a couple of days after that, in our March Around the World series of 2002, we had Charles Bosman on, live from Moscow. Charles Bosman, a very, very intelligent commentator when it comes to matters pertaining to Russia. He lives in Moscow, has lived in Moscow for a very long time. He knows the people. He knows the culture. He knows the situation on the scene.

[00:14:28] And when he came on the show in March of 2022, I asked him, you know, at that point, Russia had already moved into and surrounded Kiev. I said, how is this going to play out? And he basically said it was going to be a mop-up job. And then now here we are four years later, and it's like the First World War, Patrick, where the line has moved a few yards. And I heard a story today that the average age of Ukrainian fighters on the front right now are in their 40s. That seems unbelievable. But what is the situation?

[00:14:57] What's going on there? I mean, I have to ask, because we have you back on, and I want to work this in, because we haven't touched on it in a while. But fill us in on what you know, because as we know, you have spent a lot of time, extensive time, in the former Soviet Union and Eastern Europe. This is another area of your expertise. So take us there. Yeah, Charles, a great deal. I remember the show, by the way, and I had written an article at the time for Identity Dixie, as well as in Gab. I wrote an article at Gab.

[00:15:26] And I did not believe it would be a mop-up job. I never thought from the beginning. And there are structural and strategic reasons why I knew Russia was going to be doing this in a very slow, methodical, almost a modern version of siege warfare way. To begin, part of – so the Russians in general approached areas like Abkhazia.

[00:15:51] You're talking about when they took over portions of Georgia with large Russian ethnic populations, South Ossetia and Abkhazia back in 2008. The Russians, when they take certain positions, they like to have local support. They like to have those Russian ethnic supports. So they were looking at really Eastern Ukraine at the time. And I knew they were going there slowly, largely because something that everybody was forgetting, and there's no hit on Charles or anybody else for that matter.

[00:16:21] A lot of Americans are used to that kind of Blitzkrieg-style warfare, and they know how strong the Russian military is in general. Russians are pretty powerful. They've got a really unique mind with regards to how they approach war that's very different than the American approach because they don't have the same political calculations that the Americans have.

[00:16:39] They don't have to worry too much about the population uprising and questioning whether Putin is doing the right thing, as opposed to, say, George Bush in the Iraq War, which clearly caused in the midterm in 2006, the Iran War will absolutely cause Trump to bring in the communists in 2026. With the Russians, they put in, the Soviet Union put in some of the most advanced aerial defense systems in the world in Ukraine.

[00:17:07] Because Ukraine was the southern doorstep, doorway, into the rest of the Soviet Union. So during the Cold War, it was armed to the teeth. Ukraine was armed to the teeth. A lot of folks forget that.

[00:17:17] Now, what we've done since the Minon Revolution in 2014 and really beginning in 2002, we, as Americans, put in the same very carefully considered geographic positions of the former Soviet aerial defense system. So we essentially modernized their ability to defend themselves. So that immediately took out Russian air power.

[00:17:45] Russians were not able to use the air power they would have had if they were attacking some other state that was far less considered. Let's say, for instance, going into when they went into Chechnya, where they had problems for quite some time, or even going into Afghanistan or something along those lines. They would not have the same issues. Ukraine was armed to the teeth for years and had really a well-thought-out strategic roadmap. So the Russians had to do this as a ground game. Now, it's changing a bit with the drones, but there's something that we have to remember.

[00:18:14] And here's this, is that the drone warfare that Ukraine is currently running and somewhat successful is going to be limited because it's only a period of time. The Russians just need to identify the factories and knock out what they've been doing. So as the Russians continue to knock out factories, they continue to slowly inch their way back and further and further. And the munitions that we have right now have dried up. The United States no longer has FADs.

[00:18:41] We don't have our own FADs, our tactical high-altitude aerial defense systems. We don't have the projectiles for them. We don't have enough for Israel. We've been giving them to Israel. We actually took them away from South Korea, took them away from Taiwan, took them away from the Philippines, and gave them to Israel. We bypassed those going into other Middle Eastern countries that have been hit hard, like the Amaretis, the Saudis. We took those away. We gave them to Israel.

[00:19:10] And now we have Ukraine, which kind of let us try on them in the first place. We don't have the rare earth elements to continue to develop our own aerial defense systems. We don't have that. That's one of the reasons why Trump is looking at Greenland. And with all this happening, Ukraine is trying to fight a war of attrition, which is surely closing down with every strike on a factory that they can't really rebuild. So the Russians were taken off guard recently.

[00:19:38] And now the Russians are kind of coming back again, identifying those factories, destroying those factories. We do know that some of the Western European countries, especially the U.K., have been supporting Ukraine with that has been occurring, as well as German-made drones. But the Russians have made it very clear that they are not opposed to striking those Western European countries if they keep using drones to strike the interior of Russia.

[00:20:02] And it's only a matter of time before the Russian population does begin screaming not to end the war, but to make it more bloody, to actually use some kind of tactical nuke to go out there, hurt the Germans, hurt the Brits, or really hurt the Ukrainians, whom they deem as usurpers. Just like you said, they don't really look at Ukraine as a legitimate country at all. And to them, it's just not.

[00:20:28] It's just a fabricated entity from the Soviet era that really was designed primarily for the purpose of just a really defensive bulwark. And they remember World War II as well. The Ukrainians, for those who don't know their World War II history, the Ukrainians, rightfully so, by the way, embraced the Germans initially when the Germans came into Ukraine because they thought of them as saviors.

[00:20:52] And had the Germans actually treated them with any level of respect, it probably would be a very different outcome with regard to the war in the Eastern Front during World War II. Unfortunately, the Germans made a strategic mistake by, I think, by looking at all Slavs the same way. And that really became a problem because for those, again, who don't know their World War II history, Ukraine had a brutal, brutal famine imposed upon them by the Russians. It was the Alamedor, really by the Judeo-Molsheviks who did this to them.

[00:21:21] And millions were killed, died intentionally. And so the Ukrainians, those who actually occupy Ukraine today or at the time, they had certain sympathies for the Germans. The Russians really don't like Ukrainians in general. They kind of look at them, but they still arm them. They still have a sort of a genetic, clearly have a genetic link. They have a linguistic link, this whole nonsense with Kiev and Kiev. That's just stupid.

[00:21:49] But right now the Russians, the Ukrainians are trying to fight a war of attrition, and they're just not going to be able to do it unless they continue to get Western support, which they will not have eventually. Patrick, Keith's got the million-dollar question coming for you. You know, when will this ever end? I've just questioned why Russia just didn't come in there and squash these people like a bug, people like Zelensky and whatnot, in the very beginning.

[00:22:14] Is there some racial or ethnic or religious reason why they are, you know, holding back from, you know, they don't even have to have smart bombs. They've got enough dumb bombs to take care of them, I think. What do you think? Well, again, I think the big part of that was the fact that the way the Ukrainians were set up, their aerial defense systems are top-notch, some of the best in the world.

[00:22:43] And they, again, they got them from the Americans. They got modern systems from the Americans. Now they're running out of those munitions, by the way. But they were able to hold off the Russian Air Force, which was really the key to any kind of major attack on the, you know, with regard to any kind of attack against the Ukrainians from an aerial perspective, because they could literally have just bombed them to bejesus. They just couldn't penetrate those areas. They just simply couldn't at the time.

[00:23:11] Now, as we're beginning to run out of munitions and support for the Ukrainians, they may be able to do this. And obviously they have the mid-range and short-range missile technology to really begin blowing them up. I think the Russians have been hoping that the Ukrainians would eventually, that would quit, they would surrender. This was what they're going to hope. And I think what they were hoping here was that with a surrender,

[00:23:38] they would be able to then take eastern Ukraine, which is really the point of the whole operation anyway, the special operation, to free, and I'm going to put it in air quotes, the Russian population that, really not air quotes, it's a matter of fact, free the Russian population that has had its own democratic capabilities denied. Like, really, they've had their votes suppressed.

[00:24:03] They've had so many issues with regard to, you know, just trying to get just their own voting and so forth has been subverted. So for the Russians, they're just looking to get one spot. Now, I think what's happening is as the war continues to drag on, and as the war continues to hurt Russian civilians, there's no question that the Russians are probably on the edge of coming in with a much harder attack. Well, why is America sending troops into the Balkan, I mean Baltic nations right now?

[00:24:32] Well, we're going to have to pause on that. We need to move to Iran. We have a break, but we will come back with a quick follow-up on Russia, and then we're going to go to Iran, another area of Patrick Martin's expertise, keeping in mind, of course, that he holds two master's degrees, including one in Islamic studies. We'll be right back. How would you like to help this program reach more people and earn silver at the same time? Call or text 801-669-2211 for complete details.

[00:25:00] News this hour from Town Hall. I'm John Scott. President Trump on the road is about to speak in Ohio. He's north of Dayton campaigning for incumbent Republican Senator John Husted. On Friday, the president was backing Alabama's Republican candidate for Governor, Tommy Tuberville. 32 days from now, we're going to elect Tommy Tuberville as your next governor. The president told supporters in Mobile Friday they have to get out and vote.

[00:25:29] He was pumping up Republican candidates celebrating the groundbreaking of Mobile's new $4 billion bridge. Mr. Trump was in Texas and Oklahoma on Thursday. The United Arab Emirates revealing new details as investigators zero in on the background of a terrorist co-pilot and plot to take down the jet from Dubai to Tel Aviv. More from Laura Winters. At issue is how this co-pilot got hired by Fly Dubai in the first place.

[00:25:56] Investigators say records show he had previously been suspended at another airline. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu says evidence indicates this man was a radicalized Muslim who was on a mission to crash the plane. The Omani National was reportedly flagged by Oman Air as a security risk after he was in possession of extremist materials while serving as a co-pilot trainee back in 2024. Laura Winters reporting.

[00:26:23] Tennessee Governor Bill Lee said Prison Commissioner Frank Strada will resign after overseeing the failed execution of Crystal Pike. Strada is expected to leave later this month. His departure will come after he oversaw Tennessee's second failed attempt at lethal injection this year and amid bipartisan calls for his resignation. All remaining executions in the state have been paused. Strada said his agency had carried out its responsibilities in accordance with established protocol

[00:26:50] and framed his resignation as being in the best interest of Tennesseans. I'm Lisa Carton. More on these stories from townhall.com. When it comes to supplements, two things matter most. That it works and you can trust it. Larry Yild here. Rather than just tell you about Relief Factor, we'll let our customers do it. We hear from people every day whose lives have changed. We'd like you to hear their stories. Pastor Bill strained his back around Christmas 2025 and was in tremendous pain.

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[00:30:09] I want to say very quickly that it's great to have Keith Alexander back tonight. Now, I know he did come in last week somewhat unexpectedly. Halfway through the show, Keith was dealing successfully with some health issues last month in September. Great to have you back tonight, Keith. Keith, a lot of people were emailing and writing saying they missed you. And I did too, I might say. Well, I am very grateful for all that concern. I, quite frankly, was blessed.

[00:30:36] I wound up having a tumor removed, which did turn out to be cancerous, but it was stage one. So, they basically just cut it out along with a fairly large section of, like a foot on either side of intestine. I haven't had to have a, you know, colostomy bag. Haven't had to do all sorts of other things like that. So, I feel really blessed. Well, I never gave any back. I basically went in and got it also.

[00:31:06] So, you know, that's how I spent my summer vacation. Well, I was going to say, I didn't reveal any of those details, but since we're all family here, we can speak openly. No, I just want you to know that, you know, for a cancer diagnosis, that has to be the best thing you can have is a stage one. Well, it only took, hey, from diagnosis to treatment and back in the saddle in a month, you can't keep a good man down. It's great to have you back with those details as well. So, now everybody knows.

[00:31:34] But, no, it's great to have you back, and it's great to have Patrick Martin back. We're going to have Richard Parker back of the Ravens Call in the next hour. Hey, listen, two stories involving females. One involving the infamous Jane Doe at Cornell University and the Cornell Seven and this rape hoax. Are we calling it that? Is it that? We'll get to the bottom of it or do our best with Richard Parker, who's written a great article at the Ravens Call about that.

[00:31:59] We're also going to talk about the unbelievable botched execution of death row inmate Krista Pike here in Tennessee. So, that's coming up at the second hour. But first, back to Patrick. Patrick, I want to pivot very quickly into Iran because more so than any of these other global hotspots, Iran is going to have a more direct impact on the midterm elections. We're going to get your forecast on that before the time runs out this hour. But can you just give me one minute? Now, this is going to be the hardest one minute to just condense all this down.

[00:32:27] One minute for prognostication on when the Russo-Ukrainian conflict ends and how. And also, what about America putting troops in the Baltics? Are we intending to get involved in a Russian-NATO war? What's going on? One minute for all that. We could spend an hour on that, but one minute. Quick answer is yes, we are preparing to go to war with Russia. I do think that is in the cards. I do not think the Russian-Ukraine war will end.

[00:32:55] I do think we're looking at a much larger conflagration. We've had three aircraft carrier battle groups go into the Middle East in the last week. I think the war is going to expand in Iran. We could go into Iran in a minute after the midterms. And I do believe the United States is preparing for a war with Russia. That is not what I wanted to hear. None of that is what I wanted to hear. All right. I would have liked to have heard, yeah, probably another few months, Russia wins.

[00:33:22] We're not getting that from a guy who has spent, again, extensive time in the former Soviet Union, throughout Eastern Europe, Sub-Zone Africa, and the Middle East. What interests of the United States would that serve? Of course, serving the interests of the United States has never been a requirement. Well, he gave the one-word answer. Yeah. That's it. None. None. All right. So let's go then to Iran. I did not want to hear that prediction coming from you, Patrick, with regards to Russia. We'll see where it goes.

[00:33:53] Iran, though, you have been one of the guys, along with Lou Moore, who we just really haven't been able to keep off the air this year because you're so well-informed and your insights are so valuable to a talk radio program because of your expertise on this issue. Lou Moore from the nuts and bolts, you know, political operations of the political scene here in the United States and you on all of this other stuff that we're talking about right now. But let's go to Iran. Well, you just mentioned it.

[00:34:18] I mean, we're pulling out of Iraq after, you know, 30 years and zero weapons of mass destruction found and increasing our presence in other parts of the Middle East. What is the immediate scene in Iran look like going forward? So Iran is, first of all, the U.S. is in a bad shape. So a lot of, we've talked about this extensively in the past. Right after Trump launched this war on the eve of Purim, the Jewish holiday of Purim,

[00:34:48] which, by the way, celebrates the killing of Persians, the war itself I knew was going to go bad. The longer it lasts, it would be better for the Iranians. Of course, that has happened. They were able to shut down the Gulf of Hormuz. I do know that they're allowing some oil to get through. It appears that the Iranians are allowing some oil. There's a little bit of a cat and mouse game going on right now. That's mostly to moderate oil markets in general. But they also have another thing going for them, which is the trans-Caspian trade.

[00:35:18] They're making a lot of money off oil. They're able to still move their oil to China. China is not involved, nor is India, for that matter, has ceased buying the Russian oil. And the reason why the Americans are asking the Indians to stop buying Russian oil is largely because they know that there's Iranian oil in the mix, and the Iranians are getting paid by the Russians. So this has actually been a windfall, financial windfall for the Iranians.

[00:35:45] The Iranians have never had more money ever, probably in the last 50 years, despite all the talk on Fox News that they're going broke and so forth. None of this has happened. That's one of the reasons why the Treasury Department has now tried to put additional pressure, such as Iranian airplanes can't land in certain areas and so forth, because it's just not working. So you have that. That part's there. You have the Americans are clearly preparing for a much greater escalation after the midterms.

[00:36:12] I think Trump knows, well, let me rephrase, B.B. Netanyahu knows he's got two years left. And so B.B. Netanyahu knows as soon as the midterms are over, there's really no stopping Trump from launching a massive ground campaign that will get a lot of young Americans dead. It doesn't matter to him. Clearly he doesn't care. And B.B. Netanyahu absolutely does not care about American lives. That is the only way you can potentially take out the Iranians at this time.

[00:36:39] And the fact is they're not going to win because you have centuries, really, of an interconnected web, a hive-type mindset that occurs in Iran, that's built in Iran, structurally built in Iran. And the Americans simply do not understand Iran. There is this constant talk about the fact that the Iranians went from a secular society in the 1970s to an Islamic revolution in 1979 as well as Ayatollah Khomeini,

[00:37:07] as if you just put a magic wand out and everybody became a jihadist. Well, that's just not the way it works. It would almost be like coming to the United States, visiting New York City, the gayest section of the Greenwich Village, and going back home and saying, boy, America is all a bunch of homos, and there are a bunch of degenerates, and they pee on the streets, and there are a bunch of homos everywhere. It may happen in major urban cities. There might be a lot of homosexuals there, but that's not the entirety of the United States.

[00:37:34] Very similarly, many Americans who went to Tehran in the 1970s saw it as a very modern spot, but the rest of Iran was very culturally conservative Islamic, and specifically Shiite Islamic. And there were two revolutions that occurred in 1979. One was a socialist revolution that took our embassy. That was the Mujahideen Ikalk. And then there was a group that was led by Ayatollah Khomeini

[00:37:58] that was in charge of bringing about a conservative revolution that had much broader support. And as soon as Khomeini solidified his position, he killed all the Mujahideen Ikalk, gave the embassy hostages back, and had a near 12-year covert working relationship with the United States, both the Reagan administration for eight years and four years under George Bush I, where Khomeini wound up working very closely with both presidents, well, then Khomeini,

[00:38:28] at the end when Khomeini died in 89. So we have a very structural design in Iran that can't break, and we're planning to put a bunch of troops in, which is going to be just a big suck, a big trap. Now, I think the reason why the Americans are preparing to fight Russia is that ultimately the only way in which you can possibly come in and take out Iran, you can't take them from the seas. You might be able to take Karg Island maybe at the cost of probably about 20,000 or 30,000 Marines.

[00:38:57] But you can maybe take Karg Island. You can't come in from their western front because, A, you don't own Iraq anymore, and, B, the Zagros Mountains are in the way. You can't come in from the south if the walls are too deep, the cliffs are too hard. You can't come in aerially because you don't have the capacity to do so. You have to come in from the north and especially the northeast. Well, that means you're going to have to go into Russian-controlled airspace to attack Iran, and that's going to be your trigger. If the United States goes into that area,

[00:39:26] and it looks like they're building up a much larger force to go into Iran, a ground force into Iran, which would be one of the greatest strategic mistakes we've ever made. We've already made a big strategic mistake. It will trigger a war with Russia because we will have to cross Russian airspace. You might have some limited capacity going to the Turks in the Kurdish areas. You have some limited capacity going to Turkmenistan, although the Turkmen are not happy with this either.

[00:39:53] You have Armenia and Azerbaijan, both of which are just north of Iran. But in order for you to actually have any kind of strategic capacity, you would have to hit Russian airspace, and the Russians will strike. That is a fact. And so when the news articles start going out that the Russians knocked out our aircraft around the Caspian region because we were coming in on Iran, that will trigger a much broader response, the NATO response. What about NATO? NATO will have no choice.

[00:40:22] Well, let me rephrase. Let me just real quick on NATO. NATO, the idea that you strike on one is strike on all, that depends. So a NATO country is not absolutely wedded to having to support another NATO country that's been struck. They don't have to do that. They will under most circumstances, but they do not have to. And that is one of the biggest arguments happening right now between the European Union and the United States, is the European Union is saying you're being struck because of a war of choice.

[00:40:51] You chose this war. We didn't, it's not like even, you have no moral clarity here, no moral authority here, to tell us to put our European troops in harm's way because you chose a war on the behest of Israel. And so that's the big fight happening right now with NATO. NATO will be a non-entity because I don't think NATO is going to get involved. Now, NATO may get involved in a war with Russia, which is what I think Trump is hoping for. I think Trump is hoping, and so certainly Netanyahu is hoping for.

[00:41:19] Netanyahu really wants the Europeans to be sucked into a war with Russia that would also help his designs with regard to Iran. And that's where they're really looking for. Which NATO nations, let me ask you this, which NATO nations are most hawkish against Russia and which want to stay on the sideline or stay out altogether? I would say, well, first of all, Germany is more standing the sidelines. Although they are very supportive of Ukraine, they don't want to have an actual direct hot war.

[00:41:49] The Germans are very skittish post-World War II, post-World War I. It's just that we really emaculated Germany in some horrible ways, by the way, as a result in the post-World War II era. The U.K. is by far the most hawkish. The U.K. is really itching for a war with Russia. I don't know why the U.K. is itching for a war with Russia. They've been itching for a war with Russia for centuries. I mean, the Kremlin war. Well, if only they had gotten in a war with Russia in the 1940s. And not Germany. Right? You're right.

[00:42:18] I mean, we would have a whole different world if they had picked the right side. But, you know, Churchill's being Churchill. You know, Churchill looking at Germany as a bigger threat to his global hegemony. But, yeah, it's the empire. But, yeah, it is absolutely they are itching for war. The war rhetoric is really heating up. Some of these conversations they're having in Parliament, if you read some of the reports that are coming out of the Ministry of Defense in the U.K., they are preparing for war with Russia. They are absolutely 100% preparing for war with Russia.

[00:42:44] There are some countries on the Baltic periphery, Poland specifically, that really would like to punch Russia in the nose for obvious historical grievances. And I don't blame them for that. Lithuanian and so forth as well. Estonia. These are countries in the Baltic periphery that really would love to give Russia a really good punch in the nose. But there are a lot of countries that are looking at this saying, if we go to war with Russia, it's going to get hurt.

[00:43:11] And this is all beginning to suck in as part of Israel's grand design. Iran, the way Israel looks at it is with Iran, if Iran could just be messed up, if the United States could get trapped in a 30- or 40-year war, Iran loses a couple million boys, loses power economically. I mean, if you see what happened, I talked about this on one of the shows, the bond markets are a disaster right now. We've just had, for the first time in American history, three failed foreign bond auctions in a row.

[00:43:37] The 10-year Treasury note has gone up like a rocket ship because of that, because we keep having to raise our rates in order to attract foreign investors, and we're still not doing it. And at the same time, to avoid having retirees collapse, we had to infuse money, the Treasury Department had to infuse money in the bond markets earlier to avoid a liquidity collapse in our bonds coming into this fall. This is one reason why percent on purchasing so many Treasury bonds earlier in summertime, for those who weren't paying attention,

[00:44:05] spending quite a bit of money, billions of dollars, on the purchase of bonds to avoid a liquidity trap to buy those bonds that have lower yields so that retirees would not be out of money. We are now looking at a situation where bond remittances are so low, they're not able to fund our current Social Security trends, growth, at a time when Trump is actually expanding Social Security at a faster rate than ever before, where we might come in January,

[00:44:31] we may have Social Security payments bouncing, and yet we're looking at expanding a war that we can't afford culturally, we can't afford militarily, and we can't afford it economically, expanding this war with Iran. And again, it's going to suck in Russia just by virtue of the airspace. The only thing that might change this is if the Russians allow the Americans to pass, which I don't think the Russians can do. I don't think the Russians are in the mindset that they feel they can allow the Americans to just fly over their airspace

[00:44:59] and attack Iran or attack their depots that are used that are currently carrying Iranian oil across the Caspian. The Americans tested this. They struck a couple of ships in the Caspian area earlier this year, in April. They struck one Russian ship. They actually struck a Russian facility that was taking in Iranian oil. The Russians warned them that they did this again, that the Russians, unlike anybody else, can take out an aircraft carrier.

[00:45:28] So don't play games anymore. And we stopped it. It's not going to happen this time. The Russians gave us one warning before. They will hit us hard. Who are Iran's greatest allies at this point? Answer that, and then we're going to switch to the midterms on a pivot. But definitely take that question from Keith. I would say China, Russia for sure. I think it's a matter of China is looking at all this and saying this is the end of the West. So for China, this is just kind of they just know everything's collapsing.

[00:45:58] They're going to be the big man on top very soon. They looked at Trump like a fool almost the other day when he came out of the red carpet and everything else. Z is just kind of laughing at Trump behind his back. But they look at this, and so to them, it's not necessarily an alliance in that they are specifically rooting for the Islamic regime to necessarily do great over time. It's more a matter of you're going to knock out the Americans. You're going to help us knock out the Europeans. This is a real-time collapse of Western civilization.

[00:46:26] We're watching faster than we can even imagine. What did China, let me ask you this, what did China get from or what offers were made by Trump to China regarding Iran and Iranian oil? What I think was happening here is the rare earth elements issue is really the big question. So the problem, he may be talking about oil outwardly, but behind closed doors, I can almost guarantee you that the issue he has right now is the United States,

[00:46:53] when is this war, and I don't know how the Secretary of Defense did not do anything about this, but when is this war without a rare earth elements supply, steady supply? We don't have it. Greenland was paid off by the Chinese, by the communist Chinese in 2021, to shut off the Cabin Field Project, which had the largest uranium deposit in the world. They did that in 2021. The Chinese control, really do control, all the rare earth elements we need for weapons production, and they have stopped shipping that to the United States.

[00:47:22] It also controls the ability for us to develop certain data centers with respect to the AI. Now, I'm against data centers in general. I'm kind of against AI, to be honest. Maybe it's a smart tool, but nothing more than that. But what's happening is China control has all the cards as it pertains to supplies that we need for munitions. We don't have that.

[00:47:41] And so I guarantee you that behind closed doors, Trump is essentially begging Xi to go ahead and release RE in return for relaxation of tariffs, Section 232 tariffs, Section 301 tariffs, the mechanisms that he's used to try to bully China into compliance with his rare earth elements needs. And China just knows it can just sit back and do absolutely nothing, weather this storm on the tariff issue,

[00:48:10] because it really hasn't changed much in terms of their trade dynamics, and the United States can't. The U.S. needs those rare earth elements and can't get them. So let's talk midterms in our last five minutes. I mean, it looks like, according to your expert opinion, Patrick, that the global scene is more dreary than ever, and it's ironic because the one candidate who stepped up and said he was going to keep us out of all these wars,

[00:48:37] and that issue, along with immigration, propelled him to the presidency twice. He has gotten us now into places that John McCain and Dick Cheney couldn't even get us into. And that's Iran and now Russia. But more than anything, even that, as important as it is, you talk about the economy, and, of course, what's going on in Iran impacts our economy. I saw where somebody said gas was $6, and James Wood said it's $6 in California,

[00:49:04] but in America it's only $4, where $4 is absolutely horrible. Well, let me ask you this real quick. If the Republicans lose in the midterm, will that alleviate any of these problems that you see looming on the horizon for the United States? All right, answer that question from Keith, and then follow it up with how you see the midterms playing out. I think it's probably a pretty elementary question at this point, but that's how we'll close the hour. So I don't think it'll do anything. The Democrats are going to Congress. They might have it all.

[00:49:33] But at the end of the day, Democrats are just equally owned by Israel. So they're not going to – there will always be that one or two votes that will just keep it – they may put a lot of theatrics out there, but at the end of the day, it's not going to do anything about it. It's just going to – we're going to go – this freight train is not stopping towards our destruction. When all is said and done, more will be said than done. That's right. Number two, as we're going to turn to midterms, Trump had an incredible opportunity with all of the realignment, reapportionment of congressional seats to actually have kept a Republican Congress.

[00:50:03] Now, they've been pretty useless the last few years, and potentially – and certainly would have kept the Senate. That's not likely to happen now. He's probably pretty close to losing the Senate at this stage as well. Well, I think the thing about this is with the House seats, most people are in districts right now that comport with their political ideals, meaning that if they are a Democrat, they live in a Democrat district. If they're a Republican, they live in a Republican district. There are very, very few purple districts still left in general.

[00:50:32] So I don't think it's going to be the same red wave or blue wave that everybody thinks is going to happen simply because those congressional districts have been just cut up and spread out, and folks have their team. The issue is going to be turnout. And if Republican voters feel like they've just been screwed over by a president that they put a lot of trust in, and they don't show up to those electoral polls, and the Democrats do because they're motivated to get Trump,

[00:50:58] which they have been since 2015, they're going to go vote for their Democrats, and Republicans might not show up. So that's really the bigger threat is areas that would normally be, say, light red turn light blue as it pertains to votes. So that's where you might see a change. I don't think it's going to be a huge change, but it's going to be a change, something like maybe 235 Democrat seats. So they might have an advantage of roughly 10 to 15 seats advantage over the Republicans as it pertains to overall numbers

[00:51:29] than the Republicans have currently today. So maybe 25 seats change in, something along those lines. But at the end of the day, it doesn't matter. Trump is just a sitting duck. The only thing he can do is anything that Netanyahu tells them to do over the last two years, because the Democrats will go with it too, and that's what's going to happen. We're going to have a much bigger war, and by 2028, I really do hope that Florida secedes, and y'all are welcome to come visit me anytime. Will we have a draft?

[00:51:57] That is a prescient, prescient future from Patrick Martin. That's an interesting question. Are we going to have a draft, Patrick? I don't. You know what? I wouldn't be surprised if we have drafts, especially if we go to World Russia. I will tell you this. I think what's more likely to happen is the deal that Trump will make with the Democrats is that if an illegal immigrant serves in U.S. military for a period of two years, he will get full citizenship.

[00:52:23] And you will see a massive push, because one of the things that's going to happen is just what happened during World War II, by the way. If your natural-born language was not English, you were not typically put into combat roles because you had to be able to follow commands. You were typically put into roles, such as supply roles, kitchen roles, things of that nature, with similarly languished people. That's what will probably happen this time.

[00:52:50] They'll send all the young white boys that love those young southern janissaries to go out and fight Russia, go out and fight Iran, go get killed in those areas. And what you'll have back home are a bunch of Indians and Hispanics, brown-skinned folks, that will be left back to provide support for the white war effort. Horrific predictions by Patrick Martin.

[00:53:20] But I could see everything he said coming true. I mean, I hope you're wrong, too. I mean, smart people have been wrong. Experts have been wrong on this program before, and I hope in this case you are. But there is a very real chance of that all happening, and it does not change the fact that I am bullish on the long-term future, just seeing how the white demographic by age is voting and which way they are turning.

[00:53:48] But the question, again, will be, will they be able to take power and supplant the older generations before we are wiped out, either through war or demographics? So that is the question, and we'll wait to see. The short-term future, definitely more murky, though, for us. But we will face it all with truth and conviction, and there is not a truth. We are afraid to speak here on the political cesspool, even if it's not we want to hear.

[00:54:16] And Patrick Martin delivering that up on his page tonight. Patrick, it's so good to talk to you. Thank you so much. We need to be aware, and we need to be informed. And that's where you can begin to start drawing conclusions and, hopefully, solutions. But thank you again for lending your expertise to another great hour of TPC with you, Patrick. Gentlemen, it was a real honor. Thank you very much. And, Keith, I'm very glad to hear you were blessed to get recovered as quickly as you did.

[00:54:47] Drop on by here and see me while you still can, okay?